Pre-tourney Rankings
Texas Arlington
Southland
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating+4.1#108
Expected Predictive Rating+4.5#103
Pace80.3#12
Improvement-4.0#302

Offense
Total Offense+1.6#129
Improvement-0.5#190

Defense
Total Defense+2.5#104
Improvement-3.5#317
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 19, 2011 185   Louisiana Tech W 68-61 80%     1 - 0 +2.3 -19.6 +20.7
  Nov 22, 2011 159   North Texas W 97-64 75%     2 - 0 +30.3 +15.4 +11.8
  Nov 23, 2011 11   @ Baylor L 65-75 10%     2 - 1 +8.2 -6.9 +16.1
  Nov 26, 2011 279   Samford L 69-71 90%     2 - 2 -12.3 -8.6 -3.8
  Nov 28, 2011 310   UT Rio Grande Valley W 92-60 95%     3 - 2 +17.7 +6.2 +9.2
  Dec 06, 2011 25   @ Texas L 62-80 16%     3 - 3 -3.0 -6.1 +3.4
  Dec 17, 2011 94   @ Tulsa L 75-80 OT 33%     3 - 4 +3.6 -6.9 +11.4
  Dec 20, 2011 133   @ Utah St. L 69-73 44%     3 - 5 +1.8 +2.7 -1.3
  Dec 21, 2011 116   Kent St. W 74-73 52%     4 - 5 +4.6 +3.4 +1.1
  Dec 22, 2011 315   St. Peter's W 73-68 92%     5 - 5 -6.5 -9.7 +2.7
  Dec 29, 2011 310   @ UT Rio Grande Valley W 83-56 86%     6 - 5 +19.5 +15.0 +7.0
  Jan 04, 2012 297   SE Louisiana W 85-46 92%     7 - 5 1 - 0 +27.0 +7.6 +16.8
  Jan 07, 2012 326   Nicholls St. W 85-55 96%     8 - 5 2 - 0 +14.0 -5.4 +17.6
  Jan 11, 2012 270   Sam Houston St. W 66-40 90%     9 - 5 3 - 0 +16.4 -6.6 +23.1
  Jan 14, 2012 102   @ Lamar W 91-82 35%     10 - 5 4 - 0 +17.1 +17.5 -0.8
  Jan 18, 2012 306   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi W 77-73 84%     11 - 5 5 - 0 -2.5 +4.8 -7.3
  Jan 21, 2012 161   Stephen F. Austin W 63-54 75%     12 - 5 6 - 0 +6.1 -5.9 +12.1
  Jan 24, 2012 325   @ Houston Baptist W 79-74 89%     13 - 5 -4.2 -9.7 +4.7
  Jan 28, 2012 259   @ Texas St. W 82-79 73%     14 - 5 7 - 0 +0.6 -7.0 +7.1
  Feb 01, 2012 171   Texas San Antonio W 67-66 77%     15 - 5 8 - 0 -2.7 -14.0 +11.3
  Feb 04, 2012 324   @ Central Arkansas W 69-61 89%     16 - 5 9 - 0 -1.1 -12.9 +11.3
  Feb 08, 2012 270   @ Sam Houston St. W 75-63 75%     17 - 5 10 - 0 +9.2 +9.4 +0.3
  Feb 11, 2012 259   Texas St. W 73-53 89%     18 - 5 11 - 0 +10.8 -11.5 +20.7
  Feb 15, 2012 161   @ Stephen F. Austin W 51-47 51%     19 - 5 12 - 0 +7.9 -10.9 +19.1
  Feb 18, 2012 123   @ Weber St. L 70-72 41%     19 - 6 +4.5 -7.2 +11.8
  Feb 22, 2012 209   @ McNeese St. W 93-89 62%     20 - 6 13 - 0 +5.0 +18.3 -13.4
  Feb 25, 2012 226   Northwestern St. W 79-70 85%     21 - 6 14 - 0 +2.2 +3.4 -1.4
  Feb 29, 2012 306   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 78-64 94%     22 - 6 15 - 0 +0.7 +0.3 +0.0
  Mar 03, 2012 171   @ Texas San Antonio L 88-97 54%     22 - 7 15 - 1 -5.9 +3.9 -8.6
  Mar 07, 2012 326   Nicholls St. W 96-48 93%     23 - 7 +35.4 +0.4 +29.0
  Mar 08, 2012 209   McNeese St. L 72-92 73%     23 - 8 -22.4 -3.7 -18.4
Projected Record 23.0 - 8.0 15.0 - 1.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1 100.0% 100.0    100.0
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1 100.0% 100.0
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%